New York
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Tobay Beach, New York. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Sun, May 10: 3–4ft, 8s period, rated Fair. Consistent 3-4ft surf through the day on SSE swell at 8s with 7mph from the SE.
Mon, May 11: 3–4ft, 8s period, rated Fair - Good. Early morning is your best window — 3-4ft waves on SE swell at 7s with light N winds. It gets a bit messier later in the day.
Tue, May 12: 2–3ft, 8s period, rated Fair. Consistent 2-3ft surf through the day on SE swell at 7s with moderate NNW wind around 9mph.
Wed, May 13: 2–3ft, 7s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 2-3ft on ESE swell at 7s with moderate SSW wind around 10mph. The S wind kicks in by afternoon — 17mph and poor by then.
Thu, May 14: 3–4ft, 6s period, rated Poor - Fair. Get out early for the best of it — 3-4ft waves on SSE swell at 7s and 12mph SSW winds. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.
Free, simple, and takes 30 seconds.
Tobay Beach is a mellow Long Island surf spot on the barrier island of New York's South Shore, facing south into the Atlantic across the Great South Bay. The break produces gentle, rolling waves that work best on south swells pushed up by tropical storms and nor'easters, with the sandy bottom keeping things forgiving for newer surfers. Its relative seclusion compared to Jones Beach and the surrounding nature preserve make it a quieter option for those looking to score uncrowded waves along this stretch of New York coastline.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Tobay Beach is 3-4+ft with a 8.05s swell period. Wind is SSE at 7mph and conditions are rated Fair. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Tobay Beach is 3-4+ft, produced by a 4.1ft SSE primary swell at 8s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Tobay Beach is Monday from 6 AM to 9 AM with 3ft waves, a 7.45s swell period, and conditions rated Fair - Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Tobay Beach works best with a S swell and NNW winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Tobay Beach. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Tobay Beach is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to beginner surfers. Tobay Beach is a mellow Long Island surf spot on the barrier island of New York's South Shore, facing south into the Atlantic across the Great South Bay. The break produces gentle, rolling waves that work best on south swells pushed up by tropical storms and nor'easters, with the sandy bottom keeping things forgiving for newer surfers. Its relative seclusion compared to Jones Beach and the surrounding nature preserve make it a quieter option for those looking to score uncrowded waves along this stretch of New York coastline.
The prime season at Tobay Beach is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Tobay Beach include strong rip currents, seasonal jellyfish, crowded summer beach traffic, shifting sandbars. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Tobay Beach forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable. Extended forecasts show general trends. See the forecast accuracy card above for per-spot and regional performance metrics.
