Texas
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Boca Chica, Texas. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Sun, May 10: 2–3ft, 6s period, rated Poor. Not the most exciting day — 2-3ft and poor conditions with strong SE wind at 14mph.
Mon, May 11: 1–2ft, 6s period, rated Poor. Late morning into early afternoon looks best — 2-3ft with 10mph NNW winds. It's a bit wonky first thing but settles down.
Tue, May 12: 1–2ft, 6s period, rated Poor - Fair. Midday is the call — 2-3ft waves with 12mph NE winds and poor - fair conditions. Morning is a bit bumpy but things clean up by late morning.
Wed, May 13: 1–2ft, 6s period, rated Poor. A slow one — 1-2ft waves and poor conditions with gentle E breeze. Winds do pick up a bit by the afternoon to 11mph.
Thu, May 14: 1–2ft, 5s period, rated Poor. Not the most exciting day — 0-1ft and very poor conditions with 9mph from the SE. Afternoon breeze fills in to 15mph.
6s period — conditions are improving beyond your forecast
Free, simple, and takes 30 seconds.
Boca Chica sits at the southernmost tip of Texas near the mouth of the Rio Grande, where the river meets the Gulf of Mexico and creates a unique sandbars setup that can produce surprisingly fun, peaky waves. The Gulf's shallow continental shelf and prevailing northeastern swells during fall generate rideable surf, especially when tropical systems push energy into this remote stretch of coastline. This is one of the most isolated and least-known surf spots in Texas, offering solitude and a raw, frontier-like experience far from any crowds.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Boca Chica is 2-3ft with a 5.95s swell period. Wind is SE at 15mph and conditions are rated Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Boca Chica is 2-3ft, produced by a 2.2ft ESE primary swell at 6s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Boca Chica is Monday from 8 AM to 11 AM with 2ft waves, a 6s swell period, and conditions rated Fair. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Boca Chica works best with a NE swell and W winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Boca Chica. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Boca Chica is a rivermouth with a sand bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Boca Chica sits at the southernmost tip of Texas near the mouth of the Rio Grande, where the river meets the Gulf of Mexico and creates a unique sandbars setup that can produce surprisingly fun, peaky waves. The Gulf's shallow continental shelf and prevailing northeastern swells during fall generate rideable surf, especially when tropical systems push energy into this remote stretch of coastline. This is one of the most isolated and least-known surf spots in Texas, offering solitude and a raw, frontier-like experience far from any crowds.
The prime season at Boca Chica is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Boca Chica include strong currents, rip currents, jellyfish, sharks, remote location, border proximity, spacex launch restrictions. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Boca Chica forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable. Extended forecasts show general trends. See the forecast accuracy card above for per-spot and regional performance metrics.
